Saturday, April 6, 2024

WrestleMania 40 Picks

 

Night 1 Predictions

 

The Rock and Roman Reigns over Cody Rhodes and Seth Franklin Rollins due to interference from Drew McIntyre

 

Becky Lynch defeats Rhea Ripley by disqualification; Rhea retains Women’s World Championship

 

Gunther pins Sami Zayn. Someone from Sami’s past will interfere, costing him the title.

 

Jimmy Uso defeats Jey Uso with another, lesser known Bloodline family member’s help 

 

Theory and Waller win the tag team 6-way match for the titles after Logan Paul intervenes

 

Bianca, Naomi, and Jade over Damage CTRL; Bianca and Jade can’t get along and leads to speculation about their future

 

Rey Jr. and Andrade over Dirty Dom and Escobar; Andrade may switch sides

 

 

Night 2 Predictions

 

Cody Rhodes over Roman Reigns for the Universal Championship after The Rock turns on Roman to set up his own match with Cody at SummerSlam

 

Seth Franklin Rollins over Drew McIntyre for the World Championship due to CM Punk’s interference; sets up rematch for Clash at the Castle Scotland

 

Iyo Sky over Bayley for the Women’s Championship

 

Logan Paul defeats Randy Orton and Kevin Owens for the US title due to Waller and Theory intervening

 

LA Knight over AJ Styles (this will be the best of the night)

 

Bobby Lashley and the Street Profits over Final Testament

Thursday, May 4, 2023

Shrader Op/Ed in New Hampshire Union Leader (5/4/23)

 


Thursday, May 4, 2023

Op-eds

Nathan R. Shrader: A dreadful week in American politics

I WAS FORTUNATE to begin my career in politics around the age of 14 when I helped a neighbor in my native North Huntingdon, Pennsylvania, with his unsuccessful reelection campaign for local commissioner. Even though he lost that campaign, I caught the political bug and haven’t been able to shake it ever since.

About 28 years and dozens of campaigns and government service opportunities later, my passion for American politics, warts, and all, continues unabated. However, now I am experiencing it from a different vantage point as a political science professor where I have the incredible opportunity to help spark an interest in politics among the next generation of leaders. For the most part, my students — no matter where I have taught — are not hyper-partisans nor hardcore ideologues. They are inquisitive young people who genuinely want to understand how our systems of government and politics work and why.

You cannot imagine my heartbreak when I see events unfold as we have over the past month in American politics. These events inevitably contribute to the rising cynicism, mistrust, and lack of confidence — especially among the young people just learning about our political process — in the American way, which I define as respect for democracy, freedom of thought and speech, the rule of law, and equal opportunity.

First, we have seen a former president of the United States, Donald J. Trump, arrested and arraigned on 34 counts related to hush money allegedly paid to an adult film star that ostensibly had nothing to do with his actual presidency. Already we have learned that the judge in that case donated to Trump’s opponent in the 2020 election, President Joe Biden, and that the same jurist’s daughter served as a consultant to the short-lived Kamala Harris for President campaign in 2020 and then to the Biden-Harris campaign.

Second, we have witnessed two young, courageous Black men unjustly removed from their seats in the Tennessee legislature for daring to challenge the existing power structure and the bleak status quo on firearm massacres in schools and public places. Having worked in two state legislative bodies in my career, I have never seen such a blatant, official act of racial prejudice present itself on the floor of such a body as with the removal of Representatives Justin Jones and Justin Pearson. Adding insult to injury, and helping underscore the racist actions of the majority, a third White lawmaker accused of the same “infractions” as the two Black members was allowed to retain her seat.

Lastly, we have seen a sitting member of the United States Congress, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, call for the impeachment of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas without evidence that the second Black Supreme Court justice in history had broken the law and before any facts had emerged. There has already been an alarming increase in examples of politicians demonizing and denigrating the Supreme Court and judiciary by attacking the court’s integrity, the honor of those serving on it, and the very foundations of the rule of law as the cornerstone of American law and society. Now we have a member of the U.S. House — who has made her name not through any legislative achievement, but by professionally grandstanding and spotlight-seeking — looking to further delegitimize the highest court in the land by threatening impeachment without evidence of illegal behavior.

All three of these incidents bring out the worst in American politics. They collectively shape the enduring impression that our system is broken beyond repair and that we are locked in an unwinnable battle between competing “teams” who are willing to do anything, say anything, prosecute anyone, impeach everyone, or expel from a public body those who do not adhere to a certain narrow worldview.

What’s worse is that we have a generation that has come up in the last two decades of politics and who are being socialized into our political system today that have only the shared memory of our present politics of personal destruction, partisan trench warfare, and expected ideological purity.

We cannot go on this way. The three events outlined here — all of which transpired in a single week — help to illustrate just how tenuous our present situation truly is. It is time for all of us to take a deep breath, rein in our own political agendas, and fix the toxic mess we have created. America’s future depends on it.

Associate Professor of Political Science Nathan R. Shrader, PhD., is also co-director of the Center for Civic Engagement at New England College in Henniker. He lives in Manchester.

WEBLINK: https://www.unionleader.com/opinion/op-eds/nathan-r-shrader-a-dreadful-week-in-american-politics/article_10d41966-1326-5e7c-a074-e9276a2ae521.html

Friday, April 7, 2023

Shrader in New York Post

 

Opinion
Letters to the Editor
March 25, 2023

 

    The issue: The 20th anniversary of Operation Iraqi Freedom

I am immensely grateful for Sen. Joe Lieberman’s thoughtful and honest examination of the 20th anniversary of Operation Iraqi Freedom (“Iraq Lessons,” March 17).

Those who incessantly opposed and vilified the liberation of Iraq and its people by the United States and the Coalition of the Willing two decades ago have been rather silent during the approach of this anniversary. Perhaps this is because they have been consistently proven wrong and that the quality of life, standard of living, and freedom experienced in Iraq today are substantially higher than in 2003 with Saddam Hussein ruling with an iron fist.

History will continue to show that the United States, leaders like President George W. Bush and Sen. Lieberman and bipartisan majorities in both Congress and the American public were right from the beginning.

Nathan R. Shrader,

Manchester, NH


Link: https://nypost.com/2023/03/25/cops-test-nix-fury-and-more-letters-to-the-editor-march-26-2023/


Saturday, April 16, 2022

Trash Talk...

Over the past several weeks I have had the opportunity to talk to the news media about the ongoing controversy surrounding the City of Jackson's garbage contract dispute. This has become one of the ugliest, nastiest political fights I have seen in my eight years living in Jackson. 

March 9, 2022- Shrader on the pervasive nastiness of this situation in the Northside Sunhttps://www.northsidesun.com/local-content-top-stories/unfounded-foote-calls-lumumbas-accusations-against-him-preposterous#sthash.xHsSQewS.dpbs

April 8, 2022- Shrader on the politics and personal nature of the trash dispute in the Clarion-Ledgerhttps://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/2022/04/08/look-political-situation-over-jackson-garbage-contract/9469331002/

April 13, 2022- Shrader on the potential impact of this on Mayor Lumumba's legacy in the Northside Sun:  https://www.northsidesun.com/could-trash-issue-affect-mayors-future#sthash.QpKZ6pkZ.dpbs


Saturday, December 4, 2021

Five Reasons Both Parties Risk Abortion Policy Overreach

Last week's oral arguments before the United States Supreme Court in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health have caused many court-watchers to speculate about the potential demise of Roe v. Wade. This would fulfill a long-time conservative Culture War objective while also setting the stage for a nasty battle between the nation's two political parties over the issue leading up to the 2022 Midterm Elections.

Considering the public pronouncements of the parties and some of their top officials in recent days, it would come as no surprise to see both parties overreach on policy grounds in the coming months. Perhaps unsurprisingly, I predict that Republican pols will likely embrace unpopular, overly restrictive policies with Democratic pols backing likely unpopular, overly permissive policies. Meanwhile, most voters fall somewhere between the two positions.

1—The vast majority of voters want to keep Roe in place, 65% to 28% (Fox, Sept. 2021). This includes 77% of Democrats, 64% of Independents, and 53% of Republicans. 

2—A plurality of 26% want to keep Roe as is, but add restrictions, with most voters--including those who back restrictions--still calling themselves "pro-choice" (NPR/PBS/Marist, June 2019).

3—Opinion varies and voters fall into three categories according to the FiveThirtyEight polling aggregates: 10-15% say it should always be illegal, 25-30% say it should always be legal, and 55-60% say abortion should be legal in some cases, but not in all cases.

4—Abortion is currently is a low-priority voting issue: just 1% said it is the most important problem facing the country in one poll (Gallup, Oct. 2021) with 4% telling pollsters it was their top issue in another (YouGov/The Economist, Oct. 2021).

 5—Voters see considerable nuance when it comes to abortion policy. 61% believe abortion should be legal during the first trimester, 34% in the second trimester and, 19% in the third trimester. 87% want to preserve legal abortions if the women’s health is in danger, 84% in cases of incest or rape, and 74% if the child is likely to be born with serious life-threatening illnesses (AP/NORC,June 2021 with similar findings by Gallup, June 2018). 

These numbers should provide a warning for the two parties following last week's oral arguments and the ongoing efforts by Mississippi politicians to force the court's hand. While the American voters have not yet decided that abortion policy constitutes a core "voting issue" that drives their decision-making at the polls, the public does not embrace an all-or-nothing mindset. Republicans who are likely to go "all in" on running against all legal abortion and the overturn of Roe as well as the Democrats who seem willing to back abortion without restrictions could likely rouse the electorate's ire next November. 

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Restore Public Trust in SCOTUS with Retention Elections

During the Spring 2021 semester I taught a new course I created called Controversies in American Politics. The class was designed to allow students to read about and discuss issues pertaining to the design and structure of American politics and political institutions from a historical and developmental perspective.

We generally avoided most policy issues because those are debated ad nauseum without us adding another layer to whether or not we need more or less gun control. Instead, the class analyzed things such as the constitutional design of the Electoral College, the powers of the presidency, the structure of Congress, the development of the two-party system, and the staffing of the federal bureaucracy. We even had a cool research paper written on whether all states would be better off applying the Napoleonic Code as is the custom in Louisiana!

Ever since that class concluded in May 2021, I have been thinking about a design-driven, middle ground solution to address the question of growing politicization and perceived bias related to the U.S. Supreme Court. We don’t need reams of data to tell us what every observer of American politics has understood for quite some time: the politicization of the United States federal courts, particularly the United States Supreme Court is especially problematic and poses a genuinely vexing problem for our country moving forward.

The Quinnipiac University polling data below from www.pollingreport.com only goes back to early 2003, but the share of American voters who say they disapprove of the way SCOTUS is handling its job has risen over the past 18 years. In early 2003 the court held a positive net rating of +29 (those who approve minus those who disapprove) while as of this month it sits at a negative net rating of -12. The court’s overall approval rating has waxed and waned over this time period, but their net rating remained consistently positive until June 2008, recovered briefly, but has been inching downward in 2012, 2013, and 2021 despite a brief uptick in 2020.

Likewise, from 2010 onward the share of voters saying SCOTUS is too liberal has declined while those reporting that it is too conservative has increased significantly with fewer saying the court’s ideological positioning is “about right.”


My purpose here is not to catalog the already exhaustive list of political and policy reasons why the courts are becoming (and are perceived to be) more political, but to instead introduce a suggestion for how to modernize SCOTUS without the drastic steps that have been discussed recently among some politicians such as imposing term limits or having the president pack the court to achieve ideological parity. Perhaps a less extreme approach is in order.

According to the University of Denver’s Institute for the Advancement of the American Legal System (IAALS), 21 states currently utilize some form of system of judicial retention for sitting judges. The way it works is that a judge is either appointed or elected (depending on the state) to a fixed term. Following their initial appointment or election they must stand before the voters for a retention vote and the public is given the option of either voting “yes” or “no” on retaining said jurist for another fixed term of the same length.

That’s it. There is are no partisan primaries, head-to-head elections to endure, or anything of that nature. The voters decide whether a jurist deserves another term or not. If they agree, they vote yes. If they disagree with keeping them on, they vote no.

IAALS says that one major benefit of this system is that “judges do not face opponents in retention elections, they usually do not need to raise money and conduct campaigns. At the same time, special interest groups are not as active in retention elections as they are in contested elections because a good judge’s performance speaks for itself. Although special interest groups can spend money to oust a judge they do not like, they cannot select a replacement who fits their particular agenda because the judicial nominating commission is tasked with selecting nominees to fill vacancies.”

Realistically, a process by which SCOTUS justices must stand for a retention vote—say at the ten-year mark of their initial confirmation—will most certainly draw the attention and activism of special interest groups. That’s just the nature of the beast and should be expected. However, as a democratic pluralist, I welcome the opportunity for citizen-driven organizations, interest groups representing actual voters, and individual voters themselves to weigh in on whether or not a judge ought to be kept on the job for another term. After all, these are the courts that play a vital role in the lives of all citizens.

While I am not completely convinced this is a system will ever come to pass with regard to Supreme Court justices, I think it deserves some attention, time, and contemplation. As the public’s perceptions of SCOTUS shift in a more negative direction it may be that such an infusion of participatory democracy by the voters could help remedy the situation.

Think about it—Justice Amy Coney Barrett assumed office on October 20, 2020 to replace the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. In my hypothetical plan, she would face a retention vote sometime before her ten-year mark in October 2030. Should she receive 50% plus one vote she is retained for an additional ten-year term on the Supreme Court. Should she receive less she is replaced by a new presidential nominee. The voters decide—based on whatever metric they see fit—whether she should stay or go.

Such a plan allows for public input into the courts, acknowledges the political nature of the courts that some still seem to deny to this day, enables the voters to temper the clubby judicial  politics of Washington, allows for the imposition of a soft “term limit” without forcing judges off the bench in an arbitrary way, and embraces the nation’s participatory political spirit without subjecting United States Supreme Court justices to the rigors of an actual, national head-to-head election campaign. It may also make voters feel somewhat greater confidence in the institution if they are able to have some say in who serves within it.

I doubt this this plan will come to pass, but perhaps it is an idea worth debating.

WrestleMania 40 Picks

  Night 1 Predictions   The Rock and Roman Reigns over Cody Rhodes and Seth Franklin Rollins due to interference from Drew McIntyre   ...