Tuesday, November 17, 2020

Election 2020: Why I Backed Biden

I have been asked by several individuals as of late to explain why I supported Joe Biden for the presidency, but focusing on a policy perspective. Joe Biden has long been a favorite of mine in American politics dating back to when I first saw him speak on TV at the 1996 Democratic National Convention in Chicago. Specifically, I respect and admire his diligent work in the Senate, his ability to forge bipartisan relationships across the aisle, Biden's willingness to change his mind over time as facts and situations change, and his sensible positions on delicate matters that impact America's role in the world. 

In a nutshell, I view Biden as the exact opposite of the incumbent president on all of these measures and as a potential antidote for the ideological extremism and polarization of the past two decades. 

These are the main reasons I planned to support Joe Biden for the presidency going back to 2014 when positioning for the 2016 election cycle began. As we know, the death of Beau Biden and the party's coalescing around Hillary Clinton prevented Biden from running in 2016. Beginning early in the Trump administration it was my view that there was only one person who could defeat Donald Trump and restore some semblance of sanity and normalcy to Washington and American politics in general: Joe Biden.

Because I believe in Joe Biden, I ran to represent my congressional district as a Biden Delegate to the Democratic National Convention and was successfully elected along with my running mate Ryan Brown to represent Mississippi's Third District for Biden. Although I didn't get to go to Milwaukee as a delegate, I still was able to fulfill a lifelong dream of being a convention delegate while doing so for one of the most honorable, decent people in modern American politics.

As I have openly acknowledged, my unwavering support for Biden was based on his long record of honorable public service, his moderate temperament, and his institutionalist bona fides. During the campaign I rarely talked much about why I supported Biden from a policy standpoint, but those issues should have been clear to those who know me. The primary issues that influence my votes in federal elections for positions like President of the United States, United States Senator, and U.S. House of Representatives are ones that influence America's position in the world and her security and safety. 

It was easy for me to back Biden because the issues that motivate me the most in federal races are those of  national security, diplomacy, trade, and defense policy. Basically, Joe Biden and I are in alignment on most all of these issue areas while Donald Trump is the polar opposite of where I am on just everything falling within these policy umbrellas. 

A short piece posted in Axios today succinctly outlined exactly why I supported Biden and would not have supported Donald Trump under any circumstances: Joe Biden understands the delicate and nuanced nature of how trade agreements and multinational deals can and will shape the future of America and our global position. Likewise, I sensed that Biden was considerably stronger on these issues than any of the other candidates who sought the Democratic nomination this year. 

According to the Axios piece, "For the first time in living memory, the hegemon at the center of a major global free trade agreement is not the U.S.," adding that "China has stepped into Uncle Sam's shoes, and now anchors the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, or RCEP, an area covering 2.2 billion people and 1/3 of all the economic activity on the planet." This is certainly unacceptable. 

The reason for this neglect of America's long-term interests is clear to me: American politicians on both the nationalist right and protectionist left fringes have absurdly abandoned the promotion of the nation's role as the global leader in trade, commerce, and diplomacy. One key piece of evidence is the Trump administration's rejection of the Trans Pacific Partnership, which would have allowed the United States to compete in the regions outlined in the Axios article. Before pinning all of the blame for this on Trump and his party's isolationist nationalism, it is important to recall that leftists like Bernie Sanders praised Trump and sided with him on the matter.

Bloomberg also made note of this yesterday, noting that "America needs a way to quickly assert its place in the Pacific Rim’s economic future. And the TPP, which was negotiated by the Obama administration, offers a largely off-the-shelf way to do so, the argument goes." This of course, is in response to China and 14 other nations signing the world's largest trade deal without America's interests being represented in the Pacific Rim

Without getting too wonky about it, Biden won my support from the jump because of my admiration for his career, his pragmatic approach, the man's institutionalist approach, and my alignment with him on the policy matters that are the most significant to me (which I also happen to see as the most significant to the country itself). 

Biden is a pragmatic, reasonable politician who never abandoned the TPP or the trade agreements of the 1990s and early 2000s, will allow the U.S. to reassert itself in global affairs, and will reengage with the world in a way that prevents the absurd surrender of American influence and prosperity due to rigid, ideological constraints. I am proud to have supported him and been a Biden Delegate in my congressional district. 

Saturday, November 7, 2020

Counting the Votes: Patience Must Prevail

I empathize with the growing chorus of Americans calling for a quick and tidy conclusion to the presidential race. I would also like for nothing more than to resolve the remaining toss-up states and allow the eventual winner to begin the difficult work of planning for the next four years. The last few days have certainly added to our nation's elevated level of anxiety in a year that has had no shortage of stressors.

With that said, I don't believe it is healthy or necessary to rush a very delicate, complicated process. The most important thing is to reach an accurate final result that safeguards the legitimacy of the electoral process. There will be almost certainly be conspiracy theorists and demagogues who will never accept the result. This seems to be especially true if Joe Biden is eventually declared as President-Elect. Thus, we must be sure that the rest of the citizenry can see that we have fairly and undoubtedly rendered the most accurate outcome possible. 

Let's guarantee that the initial counts and possible recount process are conducted in ways that leave as few doubts as possible regarding the winners and losers. In addition concerns over the perceptions of legitimacy, I worry about the enhanced possibility for human error should we demand election workers to perform their duties well beyond what a person can do efficiently and effectively if exhausted and tired. Likewise, technology itself has the potential for error, which means that we have to first and foremost get this right before we get this finished.

Although I understand that fortitude everywhere is wearing thin, we must be patient and allow the system to function. Please remember that the folks managing elections in the states and counties are people too. They need sleep. They need rest. They need time with their families and a chance to recuperate. They are already facing long hours, considerable human contact, elevated risk of the coronavirus due to their jobs, and angry partisans demanding a resolution. Let's bear with them... and thank them for their service. 

Hang on just a little while longer, my fellow Americans! We are almost there.




Thursday, November 5, 2020

My Quick Take on Where Things Stand in PA Today

I'm a veteran of many Pennsylvania campaigns, worked for Lieutenant Governor Knoll, and lived in Philly, Pittsburgh, Southwest, Northwest, and Central PA. This morning I am feeling exceedingly optimistic about Joe Biden carrying the state.

For future reference, if you truly want to understand Pennsylvania politics, please read the classic book by Paul Beers called Pennsylvania Politics Today and Yesterday (1980). You will quickly learn some of the historic points that help us understand the state today, even in a considerably different era with a more diverse electorate!

https://www.amazon.com/Pennsylvania-Politics-Today-Yesterday-Accommodation/dp/0271002387


Monday, November 2, 2020

Closing Remarks on Election 2020: My Presentation from 11/2/20

 

DR. NATHAN R. SHRADER

MILLSAPS COLLEGE

CHAIR, DEPARTMENT OF GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS

Remarks for New England College’s National College Convention

Monday, November 2, 2020; 10am EST

https://www.nec.edu/election-2020/?fbclid=IwAR0MWDxwcxNKP5B9Xnk2VDQBqySGF8Db3wmCO5dTpKF76DgB4-7GiLbMU5Y

 

Good morning and happy Election Day Eve to all of you! Thank you to the good people at New England College for inviting me to speak with all of you today.

I’m Nathan Shrader, chair of the Department of Government and Politics and Director of American Studies at Millsaps College. Greetings from the capitol city of Jackson, Mississippi.

Today I am pleased to report that Magnolia State voters have seemingly cast a record number of both in-person and mail-in absentee votes this year during our unusually competitive US Senate race between Cindy Hyde-Smith and Mike Espy and the constitutional amendment initiative to replace the old state flag featuring the confederate battle emblem with an “In God We Trust” flag, that will possibly be the subject of expensive litigation next year if approved tomorrow.[1]

When it was suggested that I talk about a specific thing that I find the most interesting or fascinating about the 2020 election cycle, I had to take several days to contemplate the thousands of possible topics in play for this discussion.

Even though I ruled them out as main topics, there are two things worth mentioning for posterity.

First, I think we will look back at 2020 as the year in which Andrew Yang broke the mold and appeared tie-less in all of the primary election debate. I’m hopeful this starts a new trend for all political debates and speeches. It’s 2020, not 1820. Powdered wigs and horse drawn buggies have faded away from use. It’s time for the necktie to do the same.

Second, the casting of Jim Carrey as Joe Biden is the worst addition to SNL in my lifetime, but that’s a topic for another day.

Now that these points are out of my system, I’d like to discuss what I think is the most interesting facet of the 2020 election cycle—at least from my vantage point—the ways in which the application of an originalist interpretation and implementation of American federalism has doomed the nation to a complicated, complex, and confusing patchwork system of election laws that will likely lead the country down a treacherous path in coming days regarding the counting and processing of our votes.

Because of the fast-paced nature of this election season, I decided to wait until Sunday morning to write these comments. As such, I woke up to several text messages about efforts by the Republican Party to disqualify nearly 130,000 ballots in Harris County, Texas.[2]

As I was prepared to talk more exclusively about this particular case, I learned around 3:00pm Sunday afternoon that the Texas Supreme Court rejected said GOP challenge without offering an opinion and the plaintiffs are expected to pursue this matter in federal court.

According to the Texas Tribune, the plaintiffs will inevitably argue in federal court “that drive-thru voting violates the U.S. constitution. A hearing in that case is set for this morning in a Houston-based federal district court, one day before Election Day. A rejection of the votes would constitute a monumental disenfranchisement of voters — drive-thru ballots account for about 10% of all in-person ballots cast during early voting in Harris County.”[3]

--

To put it as succinctly as possible, our unique system of American federalism ensures that power and responsibility is divided between the federal and state and/or local governmental units. Likewise, Dr. Edward Purcell, Jr. of New York Law School writes that  originalism “claims that the Constitution should be interpreted in light of the ‘original’ meaning it held for those who drafted and ratified it.”[4]

Essentially, the application of federalism as it relates to the courts is a question of jurisdiction which is determined based on what law or statute is in dispute: federal, state, or local. The central problem today that underscores my topic is that American federalism is being interpreted and applied through an antiquated, originalist conception designed to limit and weaken the national government and federal authority. This leads to tremendous—and unnecessary—deference to the states.

In his 2007 piece, Originalism, Federalism, and the American Constitutional Enterprise: A Historical Inquiry, Professor Purcell introduced readers to the topic by noting that the combination of constitutional originalism and America’s unique system of federalism  represents “an intensifying effort to employ constitutional provisions to limit the powers of the national government and protect the sovereignty of the states.”[5] In my view, this is an apt description of what we are experiencing today.

As such, this marriage between originalism and American federalism ensures the United States has no coherent national policy or strategy regarding election management, voter registration, and the operation of programs such as absentee balloting, vote by mail, or how and when to begin counting ballots received.

This of course leads to contradictory rulings that fundamentally changes the voting experience—and what it means to partake in the democratic process—from state to state rather than a system that treats all Americans as citizens of the United States first and citizens of their respective states second.

Here are some examples drawn from this election cycle to underscore my point:

Ø  First, early voting. According to the National Conference of State Legislatures, 43 states and DC provide for some form of in-person, early voting.[6] The rest do not allow for the practice.

Ø  Second, mail-in and absentee voting. NPR reports that in this election cycle, 10 states automatically sent ballots to voters through the mail while another—Montana—allowed each county the option of doing so.[7] Voters could receive their ballot automatically and without requesting one from their county or the state.

    Meanwhile, 14 states did not automatically mail out ballots to voters, but they did distribute mail-in-ballot applications automatically.[8] This means that voters in those places could have received an application that still had to be completed and returned by a deadline which varied from one state to the next.

Ø  Third, what about excuses for voting by mail or absentee? 38 states required voters to request or apply for a ballot through the mail without an excuse required or fears related to Covid-19 were permitted as an excuse for voting by mail.[9]

      Five other states—including the one where I vote—require an excuse to be given to the county registrar and thanks to the infinite wisdom of the legislatures and Secretaries of State in those places, opted not to permit voters to use Covid-19 related fears as an excuse for voting absentee, either in person or by mail.[10]

Ø  Fourth, we have drop boxes. Lawfare reports that 40 states plus DC provide at least one drop box per county for voters who wish to deposit ballots while 20 are permitting completed ballots to be dropped off at polling places on Tuesday.[11]

This may sound like a step in the right direction. However, Lawfare indicates that just 8 of these states have explicit laws on the books that directly provide for the use of said drop boxes,[12] thus another avenue for litigation.

Ø  Fifth, there are ongoing disputes over the exact day in which ballots must be postmarked and returned. Look for these matters to be the subject of extensive post-election litigation, especially in a close race as this will inevitably be a flashpoint for legal action as the Republicans are going to challenge the validity of ballots based on the differences here.

    For example, here in Mississippi absentee ballots must be “Postmarked by Election Day and received within 5 business days of Election Day (by mail); Received 3 days before Election Day (in person).”[13]

      In battleground Wisconsin absentee ballots must be “Received by 8pm on Election Day.”[14]

     Meanwhile, in my native Pennsylvania—which has turned out to be ground zero for the final moments of this campaign—absentee ballots must be “delivered in-person, received by 8pm on Election Day. If mailed, postmarked by Election Day and received within 3 days after Election Day.”[15]

       In short, this is a mess and is an obvious source of legal action waiting to happen.

Ø  Sixth, let’s consider the temporarily resolved Texas curbside voting issue that led me down this path to begin with. The Texas Supreme Court has ruled for now that the ballots will stand, but some Republicans now banking on a federal court reversal and may be emboldened thanks to the U.S. Supreme Court, which struck down curbside voting in Alabama last week on a 5-3 vote.[16] Again, there are no national standards for curbside voting, but instead a patchwork of complex and confusing laws.

Ø  Seventh, some counties in some states are able to legally count mail-in and absentee ballots in advance to expedite the process on Election Night. Others are not. In Pennsylvania for instance, some counties have yet to decide whether they are even going to count these at all on Tuesday or wait to begin doing so later in the week. Talk about additional confusion!

Ø  Eighth, how about those armed militants at the precincts? The Trump campaign has been recruiting volunteers under an official effort called “Army for Trump,” found at www.armyfortrump.com. Some of these folks may or may not be associated with the armed militants online who say they are going to be patrolling precincts at the president’s request. Are they allowed to brandish firearms at voting precincts?  In some places yes, in some places no.

According to the Brady Campaign, “There is currently no federal law prohibiting the presence of firearms at polling sites. Instead, regulation is left to the states, a large majority of which allow guns to be carried in and around a polling place.”[17]

The Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection at Georgetown Law cites a Gifford Law Center report indicating that guns are expressly prohibited in polling places in Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Texas, and the District of Columbia, yet some states like Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, and South Carolina say firearms must be not be concealed. [18]

Does much of this sound convoluted, confusing, and confounding? Perhaps even perilous?

If you answered yes, you are not alone.  

And it brings me to the true issue at hand: are we first and foremost citizens of the states in which we live or of the United States itself?

This election cycle has led me to ask how our basic rights and privileges like the right to vote and the details associated with it can vary so greatly from state to state when we are all citizens of the United States?

This is where my head will be in the coming weeks, no matter who emerges as President of the United States and how it happens.

--

Having reviewed the deficiencies wrought by originalist federalism on this election cycle and our election laws, I want to make what may be a controversial point, but one I believe to be crucial.

The previous several months—and likely the coming several weeks—have and will continue to illustrate the deficiencies of federalism in hindering the creation of a much needed, truly national election process.

At the start of this talk I commented about the horse drawn buggy, the powdered wig, and the equally archaic necktie. Much like these contrivances, originalist-driven federalism has outlived its usefulness as a means of uniting a nation with fraying political, economic, ideological, and social bonds.

What would I propose instead?

Well, even though it is highly unlikely to come to pass in the near future, I recommend that most all facets of election procedure and management ought to be nationalized: uniform standards for registration, absentee ballots, early voting, Election Day protocols, counting ballots, and reporting of results in all 50 states plus DC. 

On top of this, universal, national registration for all American citizens when they turn 18[19] would help lessen the quagmire exponentially.

Will we ever get there? Hopefully, but perhaps not in my lifetime. However, the complications in these areas that have been a hallmark of the 2020 election cycle will not be forgotten moving forward into 2021 and beyond. Additionally, young voters like those in this conference today are considerably more astute and advanced than their older peers and those currently holding public office when it comes to these matters.

In addition to every other seemingly insurmountable challenge facing civilization, this is probably going to fall on their shoulders too.

Good luck, students. You have some enormous challenges ahead of you.

--

In conclusion, I want to leave you with a serious, somber point to reflect upon as we prepare for what could be long, contentious days and weeks ahead.

Most importantly, we have to count all the votes and leave the voice of no Americans behind. And this could take time.[20]

History will recall and judge the America that wakes up on November 4 as much as it will remember the America that finishes voting on November 3.

In his book, The Soul of America, historian Jon Meacham noted that President Lincoln’s first inaugural address included an appeal that we be guided “by the better angels of our nature.”

This week will be a test of this to be sure. Will our better angels of responsibility, honor, patience, reason, and virtue emerge on the morning of November 4 and the days that follow, or will we allow our lesser angels to shape our future?

We must together demonstrate our commitment to these virtues during what could be an unusually long and trying process of vote counting and election certification.

These will be days which demand patience and empathy with those tasked with managing the nuts and bolts of the democratic process.

Our better angels will be in greater demand than ever.

No matter who wins and who loses this election, we must all continue living together in the same country. In the same states. In the same counties. In the same cities and towns. On the same campuses.

Our response matters because we are all still in this together, no matter how worn the common bonds have become. No matter how exhausted we are. No matter how frustrated we have become.

In his first inaugural address, 132 years after Lincoln’s, President Clinton memorably stated that "There is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right with America.”

I would like to think this is still true of America and Americans in 2020.

Thank you.



[5] Ibid

[8] Ibid

[9] Ibid

[10] Ibid

[12] Ibid

[13] https://www.vote.org/absentee-ballot-deadlines/

[14] Ibid

[15] Ibid

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